Redfin home price, sales and inventory figures run through September 2026. Other sources still update weekly. Why

Listing Velocity Decay Tracker

Sellers weaken before prices fall. This page composites four Redfin Data Center signals — price-drop share, days-on-market spike, inventory surplus, and sale-to-list gap — into a single 0-to-100 city score. Cities scoring 65+ are where buyers have leverage today, regardless of whether the headline median price has caught up.

Sharpest velocity decay (city) Ashby, Massachusetts Score 100 · Price drops on 42% of listings · DOM +120% vs avg
Cities in severe decay (≥80) 1575 out of 8789 cities tracked (≥10 sales)
Cities still balanced (45-54) 1027 neither buyer nor seller has leverage

Top 100 cities — sharpest velocity decay (buyer leverage)

Sellers are softening fastest in these cities. The score outpaces headline median-price changes by about 2-3 months.

# City Score Tier Median Price Price Drops DOM Spike Inventory Surplus Sales
1 Ashby Massachusetts 100 Severe decay $522,251 42% +120% +53% 10
2 Battlement Mesa Colorado 100 Severe decay $409,805 53% +46% +45% 25
3 Belvedere South Carolina 100 Severe decay $194,407 45% +74% +126% 14
4 Blackshear Georgia 100 Severe decay $160,424 37% +46% +41% 10
5 Borger Texas 100 Severe decay $154,376 37% +28% +15% 35
6 Brunswick Georgia 100 Severe decay $298,108 30% +112% +94% 33
7 Chester Pennsylvania 100 Severe decay $74,964 29% +129% +17% 74
8 Chewelah Washington 100 Severe decay $389,814 48% +72% +61% 12
9 Clarksdale Mississippi 100 Severe decay $78,962 25% +42% +53% 15
10 Dellwood Missouri 100 Severe decay $110,397 69% +63% +97% 20
11 Double Oak Texas 100 Severe decay $894,574 59% +45% +112% 14
12 Eagle Colorado 100 Severe decay $1,326,868 42% +106% +145% 26
13 Elwood Indiana 100 Severe decay $159,924 56% +30% +22% 38
14 Fort Gibson Oklahoma 100 Severe decay $219,895 70% +90% +27% 12
15 Gallup New Mexico 100 Severe decay $223,893 33% +90% +38% 22
16 Gas City Indiana 100 Severe decay $124,941 54% -7% +69% 11
17 Genesee Colorado 100 Severe decay $1,005,651 62% +78% +46% 16
18 Glen Raven North Carolina 100 Severe decay $254,279 74% +51% +46% 11
19 Hayden Colorado 100 Severe decay $472,775 56% +90% +44% 11
20 Heber-Overgaard Arizona 100 Severe decay $327,294 49% +46% +52% 41
21 Henryville Indiana 100 Severe decay $274,369 53% +52% +66% 10
22 Hillsdale North Carolina 100 Severe decay $328,843 65% +78% +116% 15
23 Hobart Washington 100 Severe decay $1,198,429 52% +146% +125% 15
24 Holiday Heights New Jersey 100 Severe decay $362,327 50% +97% +70% 24
25 Hunters Creek Florida 100 Severe decay $444,788 49% +55% +36% 50
26 Jourdanton Texas 100 Severe decay $205,901 74% +91% +26% 15
27 Lake Magdalene Florida 100 Severe decay $443,789 50% +57% +48% 69
28 Lake Santee Indiana 100 Severe decay $278,867 56% +64% +32% 13
29 Lithopolis Ohio 100 Severe decay $364,826 58% +82% +30% 13
30 Masthope Pennsylvania 100 Severe decay $374,322 44% +51% +96% 16
31 Meridian Colorado 100 Severe decay $669,681 78% +86% +66% 11
32 Midway North Carolina 100 Severe decay $349,833 60% +60% +63% 13
33 Mill Creek East Washington 100 Severe decay $959,043 53% +123% +140% 61
34 Milledgeville Georgia 100 Severe decay $254,079 48% +48% +19% 23
35 Milton-Freewater Oregon 100 Severe decay $319,848 46% +58% +42% 12
36 Minersville Pennsylvania 100 Severe decay $53,475 48% +47% +62% 13
37 Moline Acres Missouri 100 Severe decay $86,459 58% +63% +73% 14
38 Myrtle Point Oregon 100 Severe decay $250,381 57% +36% +56% 10
39 New Berlinville Pennsylvania 100 Severe decay $372,822 78% +320% +123% 11
40 Newberry South Carolina 100 Severe decay $194,397 42% +22% +37% 22
41 North Topsail Beach North Carolina 100 Severe decay $574,726 50% +44% +38% 37
42 Pearisburg Virginia 100 Severe decay $182,413 72% +68% +89% 10
43 Pearl Beach Michigan 100 Severe decay $487,768 55% +48% +120% 23
44 Pendleton Indiana 100 Severe decay $359,829 54% +50% +59% 40
45 Port Richey Florida 100 Severe decay $253,879 41% +44% +40% 17
46 Salem New Jersey 100 Severe decay $147,430 48% +43% +20% 20
47 Searles Valley California 100 Severe decay $77,963 45% +54% +23% 11
48 Shamokin Pennsylvania 100 Severe decay $50,000 40% +20% +67% 21
49 Sharon Hill Pennsylvania 100 Severe decay $251,880 45% +47% +34% 11
50 Tarrant Alabama 100 Severe decay $52,475 45% +92% +53% 10
51 Thomson Georgia 100 Severe decay $219,895 47% +154% +103% 15
52 Thonotosassa Florida 100 Severe decay $458,502 38% +106% +70% 35
53 Wallburg North Carolina 100 Severe decay $352,332 54% +47% +59% 14
54 Williamsburg Florida 100 Severe decay $349,833 48% +93% +67% 31
55 Wrightsville Beach North Carolina 100 Severe decay $1,946,573 36% +79% +62% 30
56 Bayfield Colorado 99 Severe decay $472,275 48% +101% +63% 14
57 Bothell Washington 99 Severe decay $999,524 55% +100% +115% 135
58 East Dennis Massachusetts 99 Severe decay $839,600 43% +45% +105% 17
59 Emerald Isle North Carolina 99 Severe decay $764,636 34% +122% +46% 54
60 Jennings Missouri 99 Severe decay $65,134 33% +38% +42% 45
61 Liberty Texas 99 Severe decay $232,889 47% +8% +56% 23
62 North Hobbs New Mexico 99 Severe decay $382,318 15% +12% +41% 12
63 Oak Ridge Florida 99 Severe decay $283,615 24% +81% +84% 16
64 Odessa Florida 99 Severe decay $444,788 54% +66% +28% 21
65 Sammamish Washington 99 Severe decay $1,489,291 43% +76% +116% 178
66 Shenandoah Pennsylvania 99 Severe decay $104,950 42% +56% +50% 11
67 Silver Ridge New Jersey 99 Severe decay $289,862 53% +62% +52% 11
68 Southchase Florida 99 Severe decay $414,802 44% +58% +44% 26
69 Statesboro Georgia 99 Severe decay $261,875 49% +54% +45% 63
70 Temple Terrace Florida 99 Severe decay $377,320 47% +54% +41% 85
71 Vermillion South Dakota 99 Severe decay $279,867 41% +50% +55% 27
72 Artesia New Mexico 98 Severe decay $251,880 22% +4% +88% 28
73 Berkley Colorado 98 Severe decay $494,764 47% +48% +82% 40
74 Camden Arkansas 98 Severe decay $165,421 19% +89% +53% 28
75 Coquille Oregon 98 Severe decay $292,111 48% +59% +56% 18
76 Doney Park Arizona 98 Severe decay $818,110 54% +33% +51% 22
77 East Port Orchard Washington 98 Severe decay $472,586 52% +188% +95% 14
78 Klahanie Washington 98 Severe decay $1,155,450 45% +54% +112% 26
79 Laurinburg North Carolina 98 Severe decay $166,171 41% +49% +51% 28
80 Leisure Village New Jersey 98 Severe decay $176,916 36% +46% +86% 53
81 Manhattan Kansas 98 Severe decay $294,860 38% +7% +29% 183
82 Morrisville North Carolina 98 Severe decay $511,756 57% +37% +48% 48
83 New Castle Colorado 98 Severe decay $658,686 46% +42% +110% 16
84 North Creek Washington 98 Severe decay $984,669 50% +73% +88% 128
85 Rifle Colorado 98 Severe decay $474,774 46% +46% +66% 36
86 Rocky Mount North Carolina 98 Severe decay $214,898 42% +51% +53% 166
87 Summit View Washington 98 Severe decay $649,686 59% +98% +54% 38
88 Wedgefield Florida 98 Severe decay $617,706 41% +49% +43% 43
89 West Lafayette Indiana 98 Severe decay $386,816 46% +61% +112% 67
90 Asheboro North Carolina 97 Severe decay $234,888 45% +51% +54% 66
91 Austin Indiana 97 Severe decay $172,068 54% +42% +39% 24
92 Bay City Texas 97 Severe decay $224,893 48% +75% +25% 50
93 Bethlehem North Carolina 97 Severe decay $423,798 52% +35% +49% 19
94 Boaz Alabama 97 Severe decay $206,402 37% +85% +59% 35
95 College Place Washington 97 Severe decay $433,114 54% +62% +123% 30
96 Crystal River Florida 97 Severe decay $402,308 45% +68% -2% 37
97 Fort Pierce South Florida 97 Severe decay $299,857 40% +69% +26% 14
98 Franklin Pennsylvania 97 Severe decay $110,000 38% +24% +44% 15
99 Fruit Heights Utah 97 Severe decay $764,886 44% +149% +63% 12
100 Inwood Florida 97 Severe decay $183,413 39% +43% +23% 13

Strongest seller markets — least decay

Cities where listings still move fast and price drops are rare. Tight inventory below long-term average compounds the seller advantage.

# City Score Tier Median Price Price Drops DOM Spike Inventory Surplus Sales
1 Highlands California 14 Seller market $3,148,501 — -47% -49% 10
2 Exton Pennsylvania 15 Seller market $632,199 — -68% -65% 12
3 Sloan New York 19 Seller market $205,902 17% -55% -59% 27
4 Village Green New York 20 Seller market $241,885 21% -70% -71% 13
5 Rush New York 21 Seller market $458,906 7% -31% -75% 16
6 Brisbane California 21 Seller market $1,199,429 14% -63% -37% 13
7 Scarsdale New York 22 Seller market $2,973,584 9% -45% -32% 76
8 Northford Connecticut 22 Seller market $565,731 23% -53% -45% 14
9 Manlius New York 22 Seller market $384,817 11% -49% -61% 15
10 Pumpkin Center North Carolina 23 Seller market $258,877 8% -64% -52% 13
11 Mullica Hill New Jersey 23 Seller market $595,366 18% -65% -57% 25
12 Ten Mile Creek Maryland 24 Seller market $659,326 23% -48% -88% 13
13 Park View Iowa 24 Seller market $314,850 10% -74% -52% 10
14 Nazareth Pennsylvania 24 Seller market $358,829 12% -47% -61% 11
15 Larchmont New York 24 Seller market $2,300,504 4% -25% -37% 36
16 Conesus New York 24 Seller market $574,227 14% -41% -35% 10
17 Winnetka Illinois 25 Seller market $2,001,547 1% -12% -46% 51
18 Westport Village Connecticut 25 Seller market $1,986,804 10% -78% -15% 12
19 Kent Estates Iowa 25 Seller market $369,824 10% -84% -73% 13
20 Hampton Maryland 25 Seller market $721,808 12% -59% -20% 19
21 Glen Ridge New Jersey 25 Seller market $1,199,429 7% -53% -7% 29
22 Blandon Pennsylvania 25 Seller market $344,836 4% -59% -26% 23
23 Akron Pennsylvania 25 Seller market $298,358 22% -77% -29% 10
24 Westvale New York 26 Seller market $299,857 8% -60% -9% 26
25 Milton New York 26 Seller market $414,802 25% -78% -36% 21
26 Lakeland New York 26 Seller market $289,862 12% -50% -13% 11
27 Lake Bungee Connecticut 26 Seller market $390,314 20% -86% -76% 10
28 Fairview New Jersey 26 Seller market $784,626 37% -73% -73% 12
29 Avon New York 26 Seller market $274,869 — -15% -37% 11
30 Wyncote Pennsylvania 27 Seller market $574,726 8% -63% -15% 10

How the score is built

  • Baseline 50. A city with average price-drop share, no DOM movement, balanced inventory, and a normal sale-to-list ratio scores 50.
  • +0 to +21 from price drops. A city where 60% of listings have at least one price reduction adds 21 points. Redfin defines this as price_drops in the market tracker.
  • ±15 from days-on-market spike. Cities where DOM has risen 50%+ above its long-term average max out at +15. Falling DOM subtracts.
  • ±12 from inventory surplus. Cities sitting on 50%+ more active listings than their long-term norm add up to 12; tight inventory subtracts.
  • −10 to +30 from sale-to-list gap. A 1.0 ratio (full ask) contributes 0; a 0.95 ratio (5% under-ask negotiation) adds ~10.
  • Volume floor. Cities with under 10 closed sales in the most recent four-week window are excluded — small-sample noise dominates the metric below this floor.

Sources: Redfin Data Center city-grain weekly data feed. Methodology composed by HomeStats; not a Redfin product.

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