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Dyer County, Tennessee

Single-family vs. condo trends, market pressure signals, and 5-year price history. Source: Redfin.

Median Sale Price
$147,000
-21.6% YoY
Active Inventory
102
Days on Market
41 days
Price Drops
33.3%

Single-Family vs. Condo

Source: Redfin (property-type breakdown)
Single-Family Median
$147,000
-22.8% YoY
Condo / Co-op Median
$175,000
-27.1% YoY
SFR vs. Condo YoY Gap
+4.3%
SFR outperforming condos
DOM: SFR vs. Condo
41d / 16d
SFR / Condo

Buyer vs. Seller Market Indicators

Latest month — Redfin
Months of Supply
2.9 mo
Seller market

Inventory ÷ monthly sales. Below 3 = strong seller market; 3-6 balanced; above 6 = buyer market.

Sale-to-List Ratio
93.3%
Heavy price cuts

Median closing price ÷ original list price. Above 100% = homes routinely closing above asking.

% Sold Above List
9%
Buyer-favorable

Share of closed sales priced above asking. The single cleanest read on bidder competition.

What does your sqft target cost in Dyer County, Tennessee?

$115/sqft median (Redfin)
+$0 adj
+$0 adj
optional
Estimated price
$230,590
Above median range (+57% vs median)
Region median
$147,000
all homes
Price-tier reverse lookup — what sqft does each price band buy?
$600,000
≈ 5,204 sqft
$1,200,000
≈ 10,408 sqft
$2,000,000
≈ 17,347 sqft
$5,000,000
≈ 43,367 sqft

Estimate = (median $/sqft × your sqft) + bed/bath/lot adjustments. Bed and bath adjustments use Appraisal Institute / Fannie Mae standard rules of thumb (~$15K/extra bedroom, ~$20K/extra bathroom vs. a 3bd/2ba baseline; half-bath = half adj). Lot premium is a $1.50/sqft heuristic beyond a 6,000 sqft baseline — accuracy varies sharply by urban infill vs. acreage market. Quality, condition, year built, and HOA are not modeled here. For a deeper county-level hedonic AVM, see AVM Lite.

Rent + invest vs. buy + own — backtested

15-yr rolling history · S&P 500
Property type:
Upfront capital committed (both paths): $34K = 20% down + 3% closing on a $147K home
BUY + OWN
Median ending wealth $129K $79K real
Net gain on $34K upfront: $95K
Range: $129K → $129K
Wealth = home value (appreciated at 3%/yr) − remaining mortgage − 6% selling cost. Gain = wealth − upfront. Leveraged appreciation on full $147K asset comes from the 20% down.
RENT + INVEST
Median ending portfolio $196K $148K real
Net gain on $50K contributed: $146K
Range: $84K → $565K
Same upfront cash + each year's (own − rent) surplus invested in S&P 500 at actual annual returns. Median renter contributed $50K total.
Median wealth delta: $67K in favor of RENT + INVEST
What if you'd started in a recent year? (most-recent 15yr window: 2011–2025)
WindowBuy wealthBuy gainRent wealthRent gainWealth delta
2011–2025$129K$95K$298K$248K$169K rent
2010–2024$129K$95K$306K$256K$177K rent
2009–2023$129K$95K$302K$252K$173K rent
2008–2022$129K$95K$177K$126K$48K rent
2007–2021$129K$95K$226K$176K$97K rent
2006–2020$129K$95K$196K$146K$67K rent
2005–2019$129K$95K$174K$123K$45K rent
2004–2018$129K$95K$144K$93K$15K rent

Educational tool, not investment or real-estate advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests use actual annual total returns including dividends from S&P 500 (Damodaran (NYU Stern) annual total return (with dividends), 1957-present.).

Buyer model: 30-yr fixed mortgage, P&I + property tax + insurance + maintenance (1% of value/yr) + HOA. Selling cost = 6%. Investor model: down payment + annual cashflow surplus invested in the chosen index at that calendar year's actual return.

Tax model: pre-tax comparison. Toggle "after-tax mode" to apply MID, SALT, LTCG, and the Sec 121 capital-gains exclusion.

This calculator does not adjust for: PMI (assumed 20%+ down), differential transaction costs by state, lifestyle factors (commute, schools, kids), illiquidity / forced-sale risk, or insurance availability constraints (e.g., FL/CA wildfire). Consult a fiduciary advisor and tax professional before acting on any of this.

Market Pressure Signals

Derived from Redfin trend
Inventory vs. Long-Term Avg
+28.1%
surplus — buyer leverage
DOM vs. 24-Mo Avg
-8.1%
currently 41 days
Long-Term Avg Inventory
80
Long-Term Avg DOM
45 days

Mortgage & Price Stress

State HPI + national delinquency
State HPI YoY
+3.1%
positive — appreciating
State HPI vs. Peak
0.0%
at or near peak peak 2025-10-01
National Mortgage Delinquency
1.89%
benchmark — 2026-01-01 county-grain delinquency requires paid data

State-grain HPI YoY + drawdown from peak is the cleanest free price-stress proxy. The national delinquency rate gives the macro mortgage-stress backdrop. True county-level mortgage delinquency lives in paid datasets (MBA NDS, CoreLogic LP).

Value Ratios

Median home price ÷ county median income
Value / Income
2.7×
bargain
Median Household Income
$54,973
Census ACS B19013

Historically affordable markets sit at 3–4× income; over 5× is stretched, over 6× is severely overvalued. Lower ratios point to bargain opportunities.

Housing Stock & Owners

Census ACS 5-year (B19013, B01003, B25002, B25003, B25034, B25007)
Population
36,681
total residents
Total Housing Units
16,296
all units, occupied + vacant
Vacancy Rate
8.7%
tight
Homeownership Rate
62.4%
of occupied units owner-occupied
Boomer Owners (65+)
20.9%
of homeowner households
Millennial / Gen-X Owners (35-54)
6.1%
of homeowner households
Pre-1949 Housing Stock
15.0%
structures built before 1949

When boomer-owner share is high, expect more inventory hitting the market over the next decade as homes transition. High vacancy + high old-stock often signals deferred-maintenance markets where buyers can negotiate.

Net Migration (IRS Tax Returns)

IRS Statistics of Income — Migration Data
Net Migration
+231
gaining people (2022–2023)
Inbound Returns
450
904 people moved in
Outbound Returns
354
673 people moved out
Net Returns
+96
household-filer basis

Top 5 Origins (where movers came from)

  1. Lauderdale, Tennessee — 113 returns
  2. Obion, Tennessee — 64 returns
  3. Shelby, Tennessee — 52 returns
  4. Gibson, Tennessee — 47 returns
  5. Lake, Tennessee — 43 returns

Top 5 Destinations (where movers went)

  1. Obion, Tennessee — 70 returns
  2. Gibson, Tennessee — 57 returns
  3. Lauderdale, Tennessee — 55 returns
  4. Lake, Tennessee — 44 returns
  5. Madison, Tennessee — 42 returns

IRS Statistics of Income tracks county-to-county migration via tax-return change-of-address. Net migration uses the exemption count (a proxy for people, including dependents). True net flow can lag by 1–2 years vs. real-time movements.

Who's Moving In (Census ACS)

Source: Census ACS B07001 (5-year)
Inbound Movers (1 yr)
1,609
4.42% of pop. — moved here from outside the county
From Other States
787
2.16% of pop. — interstate inbound
From Abroad
126
moved into the county from outside the U.S.
Same House 1 Year Ago
88%
stable residents

Census ACS asks where people lived 1 year ago, so this counts inbound movers but does not show outbound — true net migration would require IRS SOI parsing.

Trends

Up to 5 years of monthly data

Median Sale Price

Trailing 12 months

Active Inventory

Trailing 12 months

Days on Market

Trailing 12 months

Looking for state-level data? See Tennessee statewide stats →

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