Home › Missouri › Macon County

Macon County, Missouri

Single-family vs. condo trends, market pressure signals, and 5-year price history. Source: Redfin.

Median Sale Price
$223,450
—
Active Inventory
28
Days on Market
101 days
Price Drops
21.4%

Single-Family vs. Condo

Source: Redfin (property-type breakdown)
Single-Family Median
$223,450
+33.6% YoY

Buyer vs. Seller Market Indicators

Latest month — Redfin
Months of Supply
2.3 mo
Seller market

Inventory ÷ monthly sales. Below 3 = strong seller market; 3-6 balanced; above 6 = buyer market.

% Sold Above List
0%
Buyer-favorable

Share of closed sales priced above asking. The single cleanest read on bidder competition.

What does your sqft target cost in Macon County, Missouri?

$106/sqft median (Redfin)
+$0 adj
+$0 adj
optional
Estimated price
$211,378
Near median (-5% vs median)
Region median
$223,450
all homes
Price-tier reverse lookup — what sqft does each price band buy?
$600,000
≈ 5,677 sqft
$1,200,000
≈ 11,354 sqft
$2,000,000
≈ 18,923 sqft
$5,000,000
≈ 47,309 sqft

Estimate = (median $/sqft × your sqft) + bed/bath/lot adjustments. Bed and bath adjustments use Appraisal Institute / Fannie Mae standard rules of thumb (~$15K/extra bedroom, ~$20K/extra bathroom vs. a 3bd/2ba baseline; half-bath = half adj). Lot premium is a $1.50/sqft heuristic beyond a 6,000 sqft baseline — accuracy varies sharply by urban infill vs. acreage market. Quality, condition, year built, and HOA are not modeled here. For a deeper county-level hedonic AVM, see AVM Lite.

Rent + invest vs. buy + own — backtested

15-yr rolling history · S&P 500
Property type:
Upfront capital committed (both paths): $51K = 20% down + 3% closing on a $223K home
BUY + OWN
Median ending wealth $196K $120K real
Net gain on $51K upfront: $145K
Range: $196K → $196K
Wealth = home value (appreciated at 3%/yr) − remaining mortgage − 6% selling cost. Gain = wealth − upfront. Leveraged appreciation on full $223K asset comes from the 20% down.
RENT + INVEST
Median ending portfolio $475K $317K real
Net gain on $164K contributed: $311K
Range: $221K → $1.24M
Same upfront cash + each year's (own − rent) surplus invested in S&P 500 at actual annual returns. Median renter contributed $164K total.
Median wealth delta: $279K in favor of RENT + INVEST
What if you'd started in a recent year? (most-recent 15yr window: 2011–2025)
WindowBuy wealthBuy gainRent wealthRent gainWealth delta
2011–2025$196K$145K$700K$536K$504K rent
2010–2024$196K$145K$715K$551K$519K rent
2009–2023$196K$145K$687K$522K$490K rent
2008–2022$196K$145K$475K$311K$279K rent
2007–2021$196K$145K$615K$451K$419K rent
2006–2020$196K$145K$527K$362K$330K rent
2005–2019$196K$145K$473K$309K$277K rent
2004–2018$196K$145K$390K$226K$194K rent

Educational tool, not investment or real-estate advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests use actual annual total returns including dividends from S&P 500 (Damodaran (NYU Stern) annual total return (with dividends), 1957-present.).

Buyer model: 30-yr fixed mortgage, P&I + property tax + insurance + maintenance (1% of value/yr) + HOA. Selling cost = 6%. Investor model: down payment + annual cashflow surplus invested in the chosen index at that calendar year's actual return.

Tax model: pre-tax comparison. Toggle "after-tax mode" to apply MID, SALT, LTCG, and the Sec 121 capital-gains exclusion.

This calculator does not adjust for: PMI (assumed 20%+ down), differential transaction costs by state, lifestyle factors (commute, schools, kids), illiquidity / forced-sale risk, or insurance availability constraints (e.g., FL/CA wildfire). Consult a fiduciary advisor and tax professional before acting on any of this.

Market Pressure Signals

Derived from Redfin trend
Inventory vs. Long-Term Avg
-15.6%
deficit — seller leverage
DOM vs. 24-Mo Avg
+103.0%
currently 101 days
Long-Term Avg Inventory
33
Long-Term Avg DOM
50 days

Mortgage & Price Stress

State HPI + national delinquency
State HPI YoY
+4.1%
positive — appreciating
State HPI vs. Peak
0.0%
at or near peak peak 2025-10-01
National Mortgage Delinquency
1.89%
benchmark — 2026-01-01 county-grain delinquency requires paid data

State-grain HPI YoY + drawdown from peak is the cleanest free price-stress proxy. The national delinquency rate gives the macro mortgage-stress backdrop. True county-level mortgage delinquency lives in paid datasets (MBA NDS, CoreLogic LP).

Value Ratios

Median home price ÷ county median income
Value / Income
3.8×
fair value
Median Household Income
$58,318
Census ACS B19013

Historically affordable markets sit at 3–4× income; over 5× is stretched, over 6× is severely overvalued. Lower ratios point to bargain opportunities.

Housing Stock & Owners

Census ACS 5-year (B19013, B01003, B25002, B25003, B25034, B25007)
Population
15,163
total residents
Total Housing Units
7,425
all units, occupied + vacant
Vacancy Rate
19.9%
high vacancy
Homeownership Rate
76.1%
of occupied units owner-occupied
Boomer Owners (65+)
26.8%
of homeowner households
Millennial / Gen-X Owners (35-54)
8.6%
of homeowner households
Pre-1949 Housing Stock
26.1%
structures built before 1949

When boomer-owner share is high, expect more inventory hitting the market over the next decade as homes transition. High vacancy + high old-stock often signals deferred-maintenance markets where buyers can negotiate.

Net Migration (IRS Tax Returns)

IRS Statistics of Income — Migration Data
Net Migration
+46
gaining people (2022–2023)
Inbound Returns
153
277 people moved in
Outbound Returns
145
231 people moved out
Net Returns
+8
household-filer basis

Top 5 Origins (where movers came from)

  1. Adair, Missouri — 46 returns
  2. Boone, Missouri — 34 returns
  3. Randolph, Missouri — 31 returns
  4. Shelby, Missouri — 22 returns
  5. Linn, Missouri — 20 returns

Top 5 Destinations (where movers went)

  1. Randolph, Missouri — 45 returns
  2. Adair, Missouri — 39 returns
  3. Boone, Missouri — 33 returns
  4. Shelby, Missouri — 28 returns

IRS Statistics of Income tracks county-to-county migration via tax-return change-of-address. Net migration uses the exemption count (a proxy for people, including dependents). True net flow can lag by 1–2 years vs. real-time movements.

Who's Moving In (Census ACS)

Source: Census ACS B07001 (5-year)
Inbound Movers (1 yr)
615
4.11% of pop. — moved here from outside the county
From Other States
110
0.74% of pop. — interstate inbound
From Abroad
8
moved into the county from outside the U.S.
Same House 1 Year Ago
92%
stable residents

Census ACS asks where people lived 1 year ago, so this counts inbound movers but does not show outbound — true net migration would require IRS SOI parsing.

Trends

Up to 5 years of monthly data

Median Sale Price

Trailing 12 months

Active Inventory

Trailing 12 months

Days on Market

Trailing 12 months

Looking for state-level data? See Missouri statewide stats →

Verify any number on this page: data sources, formulas, and cross-references →