Median Sale Price
$3,850,000
low-volume — YoY suppressed
Active Inventory
3
Days on Market
340 days
Price Drops

Single-Family vs. Condo

Source: Redfin (property-type breakdown)
Single-Family Median
$3,850,000

Buyer vs. Seller Market Indicators

Latest month — Redfin
Months of Supply
3.0 mo
Balanced

Inventory ÷ monthly sales. Below 3 = strong seller market; 3-6 balanced; above 6 = buyer market.

Sale-to-List Ratio
97.5%
At asking

Median closing price ÷ original list price. Above 100% = homes routinely closing above asking.

% Sold Above List
0%
Buyer-favorable

Share of closed sales priced above asking. The single cleanest read on bidder competition.

Rent + invest vs. buy + own — backtested

15-yr rolling history · S&P 500
Property type:
Upfront capital committed (both paths): $886K = 20% down + 3% closing on a $3.85M home
BUY + OWN
Median ending wealth $3.38M $2.06M real
Net gain on $886K upfront: $2.50M
Range: $3.38M → $3.38M
Wealth = home value (appreciated at 3%/yr) − remaining mortgage − 6% selling cost. Gain = wealth − upfront. Leveraged appreciation on full $3.85M asset comes from the 20% down.
RENT + INVEST
Median ending portfolio $13.64M $4.81M real
Net gain on $5.54M contributed: $8.09M
Range: $6.63M → $32.81M
Same upfront cash + each year's (own − rent) surplus invested in S&P 500 at actual annual returns. Median renter contributed $5.54M total.
Median wealth delta: $10.25M in favor of RENT + INVEST
What if you'd started in a recent year? (most-recent 15yr window: 2011–2025)
WindowBuy wealthBuy gainRent wealthRent gainWealth delta
2011–2025$3.38M$2.50M$19.55M$14.01M$16.17M rent
2010–2024$3.38M$2.50M$19.92M$14.37M$16.54M rent
2009–2023$3.38M$2.50M$18.72M$13.18M$15.34M rent
2008–2022$3.38M$2.50M$14.46M$8.91M$11.07M rent
2007–2021$3.38M$2.50M$18.84M$13.29M$15.45M rent
2006–2020$3.38M$2.50M$16.00M$10.46M$12.62M rent
2005–2019$3.38M$2.50M$14.49M$8.95M$11.11M rent
2004–2018$3.38M$2.50M$11.91M$6.37M$8.53M rent

Educational tool, not investment or real-estate advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests use actual annual total returns including dividends from S&P 500 (Damodaran (NYU Stern) annual total return (with dividends), 1957-present.).

Buyer model: 30-yr fixed mortgage, P&I + property tax + insurance + maintenance (1% of value/yr) + HOA. Selling cost = 6%. Investor model: down payment + annual cashflow surplus invested in the chosen index at that calendar year's actual return.

Tax model: pre-tax comparison. Toggle "after-tax mode" to apply MID, SALT, LTCG, and the Sec 121 capital-gains exclusion.

This calculator does not adjust for: PMI (assumed 20%+ down), differential transaction costs by state, lifestyle factors (commute, schools, kids), illiquidity / forced-sale risk, or insurance availability constraints (e.g., FL/CA wildfire). Consult a fiduciary advisor and tax professional before acting on any of this.

Cost-of-living escalation — Alabama (7 categories)

7-yr trajectories · state-grain (no city-grain data published)
Electricity (residential) latest 2025 · ¢/kWh
15.32¢
+2.7% YoY +29.3% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
~$138/mo at 900 kWh
🔥
Natural gas (residential) latest 2025 · $/mo
$92
+2.9% YoY +35.0% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
monthly bill at typical 60 therms
🛒
Groceries (food at home) latest 2025 · $/mo
$556
+2.5% YoY +33.6% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
BLS CPI food-at-home, RPP-adjusted
🏠
Homeowners insurance latest 2025 · $/yr
$2,943
+7.5% YoY +72.1% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
NAIC HO-3 statewide avg
🏥
Health insurance (family contribution) latest 2025 · $/yr
$6,880
+5.2% YoY +30.7% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
KFF family worker share
🚗
Auto insurance latest 2025 · $/yr
$2,292
+6.7% YoY +64.1% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
state avg full-coverage
👶
Childcare (infant, center) latest 2025 · $/yr
$9,388
+5.0% YoY +27.1% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
Child Care Aware annual report

Trajectories anchor each state's most recent published value to the corresponding national YoY pattern (electricity → EIA, natural gas → EIA, groceries → BLS CPI food-at-home, homeowners insurance → NAIC, healthcare → KFF Employer Health Benefits, auto insurance → BLS CPI motor vehicle insurance, childcare → Child Care Aware "Price of Care"). City-grain data is not published for any of these categories — Goodwater inherits Alabama's state-level series. Per-household costs vary by provider, plan, household size, and usage.

Who lives here

Census ACS 5-year (place-level)
Population
1,375
Median Household Income
$36,938
104.2× home price
Owner-Occupied
58.4%
Vacancy Rate
30.1%

22.7% of housing was built before 1950 — older stock often means smaller bedrooms, deferred maintenance, and 1-bath layouts.

Market Pressure Signals

Derived from Redfin trend
Inventory vs. Long-Term Avg
+28.6%
surplus — buyer leverage
DOM vs. 24-Mo Avg
+113.5%
currently 340 days
Long-Term Avg Inventory
2
Long-Term Avg DOM
159 days

Value / Rent

state ZORI mean (city rent unavailable from public sources)
Value / Rent
242.7×
overpriced vs rent

City rent data isn't published in Zillow's public CSVs. We use the state-level ZORI mean as the rent reference. The state-level rent is a useful approximation for big metros within a state but can mislead in extreme outlier cities.

Trends

Up to 5 years of monthly data

Median Sale Price

Trailing 12 months

Active Inventory

Trailing 12 months

Days on Market

Trailing 12 months

State-level data: Alabama statewide stats →

Verify any number on this page: data sources, formulas, and cross-references →