Median Sale Price
$1,760,583
Active Inventory
Days on Market
Price Drops

Single-Family vs. Condo

Source: Redfin (property-type breakdown)
Single-Family Median
$1,760,583

Buyer vs. Seller Market Indicators

Latest month — Redfin
Sale-to-List Ratio
108.3%
Bidding-war territory

Median closing price ÷ original list price. Above 100% = homes routinely closing above asking.

% Sold Above List
100%
Highly competitive

Share of closed sales priced above asking. The single cleanest read on bidder competition.

What does your sqft target cost in Alder, Washington?

$422/sqft median (Redfin)
+$0 adj
+$0 adj
optional
Estimated price
$844,000
Entry-level (-52% vs median)
Region median
$1,760,583
all homes
Price-tier reverse lookup — what sqft does each price band buy?
$600,000
≈ 1,422 sqft
$1,200,000
≈ 2,844 sqft
$2,000,000
≈ 4,739 sqft
$5,000,000
≈ 11,848 sqft

Estimate = (median $/sqft × your sqft) + bed/bath/lot adjustments. Bed and bath adjustments use Appraisal Institute / Fannie Mae standard rules of thumb (~$15K/extra bedroom, ~$20K/extra bathroom vs. a 3bd/2ba baseline; half-bath = half adj). Lot premium is a $1.50/sqft heuristic beyond a 6,000 sqft baseline — accuracy varies sharply by urban infill vs. acreage market. Quality, condition, year built, and HOA are not modeled here. For a deeper county-level hedonic AVM, see AVM Lite.

Rent + invest vs. buy + own — backtested

15-yr rolling history · S&P 500
Property type:
Upfront capital committed (both paths): $405K = 20% down + 3% closing on a $1.76M home
BUY + OWN
Median ending wealth $1.55M $944K real
Net gain on $405K upfront: $1.14M
Range: $1.55M → $1.55M
Wealth = home value (appreciated at 3%/yr) − remaining mortgage − 6% selling cost. Gain = wealth − upfront. Leveraged appreciation on full $1.76M asset comes from the 20% down.
RENT + INVEST
Median ending portfolio $5.79M $2.05M real
Net gain on $2.33M contributed: $3.46M
Range: $2.82M → $14.15M
Same upfront cash + each year's (own − rent) surplus invested in S&P 500 at actual annual returns. Median renter contributed $2.33M total.
Median wealth delta: $4.25M in favor of RENT + INVEST
What if you'd started in a recent year? (most-recent 15yr window: 2011–2025)
WindowBuy wealthBuy gainRent wealthRent gainWealth delta
2011–2025$1.55M$1.14M$8.39M$6.05M$6.84M rent
2010–2024$1.55M$1.14M$8.54M$6.21M$7.00M rent
2009–2023$1.55M$1.14M$8.05M$5.72M$6.50M rent
2008–2022$1.55M$1.14M$6.14M$3.81M$4.60M rent
2007–2021$1.55M$1.14M$8.00M$5.67M$6.46M rent
2006–2020$1.55M$1.14M$6.80M$4.47M$5.26M rent
2005–2019$1.55M$1.14M$6.15M$3.82M$4.61M rent
2004–2018$1.55M$1.14M$5.06M$2.73M$3.52M rent

Educational tool, not investment or real-estate advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests use actual annual total returns including dividends from S&P 500 (Damodaran (NYU Stern) annual total return (with dividends), 1957-present.).

Buyer model: 30-yr fixed mortgage, P&I + property tax + insurance + maintenance (1% of value/yr) + HOA. Selling cost = 6%. Investor model: down payment + annual cashflow surplus invested in the chosen index at that calendar year's actual return.

Tax model: pre-tax comparison. Toggle "after-tax mode" to apply MID, SALT, LTCG, and the Sec 121 capital-gains exclusion.

This calculator does not adjust for: PMI (assumed 20%+ down), differential transaction costs by state, lifestyle factors (commute, schools, kids), illiquidity / forced-sale risk, or insurance availability constraints (e.g., FL/CA wildfire). Consult a fiduciary advisor and tax professional before acting on any of this.

Cost-of-living escalation — Washington (7 categories)

7-yr trajectories · state-grain (no city-grain data published)
Electricity (residential) latest 2025 · ¢/kWh
11.83¢
+2.7% YoY +29.1% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
~$106/mo at 900 kWh
🔥
Natural gas (residential) latest 2025 · $/mo
$110
+2.9% YoY +35.0% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
monthly bill at typical 60 therms
🛒
Groceries (food at home) latest 2025 · $/mo
$669
+2.5% YoY +33.6% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
BLS CPI food-at-home, RPP-adjusted
🏠
Homeowners insurance latest 2025 · $/yr
$1,523
+7.5% YoY +72.1% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
NAIC HO-3 statewide avg
🏥
Health insurance (family contribution) latest 2025 · $/yr
$6,185
+5.2% YoY +30.7% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
KFF family worker share
🚗
Auto insurance latest 2025 · $/yr
$1,883
+6.7% YoY +64.1% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
state avg full-coverage
👶
Childcare (infant, center) latest 2025 · $/yr
$16,940
+5.0% YoY +27.1% since 2019
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
Child Care Aware annual report

Trajectories anchor each state's most recent published value to the corresponding national YoY pattern (electricity → EIA, natural gas → EIA, groceries → BLS CPI food-at-home, homeowners insurance → NAIC, healthcare → KFF Employer Health Benefits, auto insurance → BLS CPI motor vehicle insurance, childcare → Child Care Aware "Price of Care"). City-grain data is not published for any of these categories — Alder inherits Washington's state-level series. Per-household costs vary by provider, plan, household size, and usage.

Value / Rent

state ZORI mean (city rent unavailable from public sources)
Value / Rent
84.7×
overpriced vs rent

City rent data isn't published in Zillow's public CSVs. We use the state-level ZORI mean as the rent reference. The state-level rent is a useful approximation for big metros within a state but can mislead in extreme outlier cities.

Trends

Up to 5 years of monthly data

Median Sale Price

Trailing 12 months

Active Inventory

Trailing 12 months

Days on Market

Trailing 12 months

State-level data: Washington statewide stats →

Verify any number on this page: data sources, formulas, and cross-references →